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Zhihua Zheng

Zhihua Zheng

Dr Zheng Zhihua is an associate professor and head of the East Asia Marine Policy Project at the Centre for Japanese Studies, Shanghai Jiao Tong University. He specialises in the law of the sea and marine policy. He is currently a visiting scholar at the Huayang Centre for Maritime Cooperation and Ocean Governance in Haikou.
Dr Zheng Zhihua is an associate professor and head of the East Asia Marine Policy Project at the Centre for Japanese Studies, Shanghai Jiao Tong University. He specialises in the law of the sea and marine policy. He is currently a visiting scholar at the Huayang Centre for Maritime Cooperation and Ocean Governance in Haikou.
Languages Spoken:
English

Opinion | Will Japan’s election result trigger a security spiral with China?

The result of Japan’s election has altered Tokyo’s domestic political calculus while raising the stakes for regional stability.

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The perception gap stems from both historical roots and legal interpretations. A joint, fact-based, truly collaborative process could be a start.

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With its ruinous consequences and difficulty in execution, a full blockade is unlikely. But the risks of miscalculation must not be ignored.

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Amid South China Sea tensions, Nicholas Burns’ incorrect assertion that the disputed Scarborough Shoal and Second Thomas Shoal were Philippine territory may reflect US bias at work. This highlights a hardening US stance against China and Beijing’s communication challenges.

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By playing the victim and packaging ‘grey zone’ ops as humanitarian resupply missions for fishermen, Manila means to put Beijing on the defensive. What’s uncertain is whether China will respond and, if so, how.

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Manila should take note of how Malaysia and Vietnam have managed to make the most of their maritime resources while navigating their territorial disputes with China, and rethink its own approach.

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The most likely scenario is that Manila fortifies the deteriorating ship into a permanent military outpost and Beijing retaliates by installing its own

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Rather than repeat the military drills sparked by Nancy Pelosi’s visit, Beijing can make official the baselines of Taiwan’s territorial waters, clarifying the scope of China’s sovereignty – and preventing sleepwalking into war.

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Related Topics
South China SeaUS-China relationsTaiwanJapanWar and conflictEnvironment