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Macroscope
A television displays Kevin Warsh, chairman of the US Federal Reserve, speaking at a press conference as traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on June 17. Warsh spoke about the Federal Reserve decision to keep interest rates unchanged for the fourth time this year. Photo: AFP
US Federal Reserve

Macroscope | Silence isn’t golden for a world looking to Kevin Warsh’s Fed

While forward guidance often proved counterproductive, it is the US central bank’s job to inform markets about the outlook for monetary policy, not the other way round.

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Climate change

Opinion | Fire in Spain, floods in China, war in Iran are symptoms of polycrisis

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South China Sea

Opinion | Path to South China Sea stability doesn’t run through US, UK or the EU

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Artificial intelligence

Opinion | As AI learns to hide, science must learn to trust differently

If institutions judge scholarship just through writing, they will be trapped in an endless contest against increasingly capable machines.

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A staff member works at a joint laboratory for AI-powered protein manufacturing under the National Facility for Protein Science in Shanghai on July 7. Photo: Xinhua
A staff member works at a joint laboratory for AI-powered protein manufacturing under the National Facility for Protein Science in Shanghai on July 7. Photo: Xinhua
United States

As I see it | Why is a Trump commission attacking Nietzsche, Foucault and Sartre?

The commission attacks these philosophers’ ideas as morally corrupting but Trump may be the ultimate postmodern politician, lacking fundamental principles and any regard for facts.

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Technology

Opinion | Clash of the tech titans: China’s quiet industry vs loud US innovation

At the heart of the battle for AI dominance is a deeper contest between two very different leadership styles.

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ICBMs

Opinion | China’s missile test is a signal. How non-nuclear states respond matters

The reactions to Beijing’s ‘routine’ exercise put into focus a nuclear order that is rapidly fluctuating from Tehran to Tokyo.

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Illustration: Craig Stephens
Illustration: Craig Stephens
US, Israel war on Iran

Opinion | Iran war is no longer a contest over just the Strait of Hormuz

The Aq Taqeh Khan bridge attack shows the war has expanded to the infrastructure that lets Iran function when the strait is contested.

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Diplomacy

Opinion | Slowly but surely, China’s soft power is making itself felt

With trusted businesses, more openness, creative culture and inspiring sporting successes, China is building a foundation for influence.

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European Union

Opinion | EU isn’t just selling aircraft to China. It’s helping strengthen a competitor

China Eastern’s multibillion-dollar Airbus orders, after EU delays on certifying Chinese planes, show not inconsistency but leverage towards a long-term goal.

Airbus’ second final assembly line for A320 family aircraft in Tianjin, China, on October 22. Photo: Xinhua
United States

Opinion | Trump’s crypto windfall showcases his ability to turn loyalty into power

Despite clear conflicts of interest and institutions meant to stop them, Trump has deftly weaponised and profited off the loyalty he demands.

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A representation of the $Trump meme coin. Its launch has raised concerns about the use of public office for personal financial gain. Photo: Shutterstock
A representation of the $Trump meme coin. Its launch has raised concerns about the use of public office for personal financial gain. Photo: Shutterstock
Artificial intelligence

Macroscope | Don’t expect the rising tide of AI to lift all boats

While economies linked to hi-tech supply chains may perform well, unequal outcomes and economic instability still loom for much of the world.

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Chinese culture

Being Chinese | In China, I found pieces of history waiting to be carried forward

My family’s history had travelled across the Pacific, leaving gaps that descendants on both sides are still working to fill in.

War and conflict

Outside In | How AI is changing the nature of war and conflict

Latest Global Peace Index reflects a world progressively less peaceful as AI enables armies to kill more people more quickly and more cheaply.

Shahed unmanned combat aerial vehicles are made by Iran's Shahed Aviation Industries. Photo: handout
Climate change

Opinion | Trump’s rants over China’s green energy transition are just hot air

It’s not Chinese turbines or European rules that look outdated but Trump’s belief that China’s energy transition is not world-leading.

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US President Donald Trump enjoys a light moment during a meeting with oil executives in the East Room of the White House in Washington on January 9. Photo: AP
US President Donald Trump enjoys a light moment during a meeting with oil executives in the East Room of the White House in Washington on January 9. Photo: AP
China technology

Opinion | US-China AI war boils down to a contest over electricity

As AI models become interchangeable commodities, the contest is down to service prices – which are driven by electricity output and cost.

Brics

Opinion | What the Iran war has revealed about Brics+

Those arguing that the conflict has exposed the grouping as a failure misunderstand its role.

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China economy

Opinion | A healthy economy isn’t built on asset bubbles and debt pyramids

A financial system designed to increase market valuations rather than improve people’s quality of life is prone to crisis.

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Illustration: Craig Stephens
Illustration: Craig Stephens
China economy

Opinion | Are the US’ AI models better than China’s? That may be beside the point

Rather than fight US frontier AI control, China is thinning the margins of premium AI with cheap-enough, good-enough models for mass adoption.

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Middle East

Opinion | 3 paths to shaping Middle East order after Iran war’s conclusion

While the US, China and regional players have distinct plans, their visions for a post-Iran war order overlap more than might be expected.

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China-EU relations

Opinion | Europe could prosper as China’s trade ally rather than adversary

Europe missed its chance to make trade with China a win-win for both sides. It’s now opting for a trade war it’s unlikely to win altogether.

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Illustration: Craig Stephens
European Union

Opinion | EU should think twice before weaponising its market against China

Market size and coercive leverage are not the same thing and the EU remains more dependent on China than policymakers think.

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Illustration: Craig Stephens
Illustration: Craig Stephens
Artificial intelligence

Opinion | Why Chinese youth aren’t booing AI, unlike American graduates

Giving young people a chance to help build the future with AI is more effective than a narrative in which they are its inevitable victims.

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Hong Kong economy

Opinion | A Trump visit to Hong Kong would be a strategic masterstroke

The city should seize the opportunity offered by warming US-China ties and the coming Apec summit to burnish its global prominence.

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Middle East

Opinion | How bitter Persian Gulf rivals can make peace the Asean way

Promoting de-escalation and shared prosperity in the Persian Gulf may seem arduous now. It once looked that way in Southeast Asia, too.

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An Iranian woman walks past an anti-US mural, depicting an Iranian and US negotiation table, next to the former US embassy in Tehran, Iran, on June 22. Photo: EPA
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