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800 million: how China plans to double its middle-income population

China projects it will have 800 million people living on middle incomes in 10 years, as it pledges to ‘invest more in people’

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Shoppers ride an escalator in a mall in Beijing. China projects its middle-income population will reach 800 million within the next 10 years. Photo: Reuters
Mandy Zuoin Shanghai

Xiao Mei, a kindergarten teaching assistant living in the suburbs of Hangzhou in eastern China, has barely seen her income rise for three years and is not optimistic about her chances of getting a pay rise any time soon. Still, she counts herself as relatively fortunate.

“At least I haven’t had my pay cut or lost my job,” she said, adding that several of her friends had suffered such setbacks recently.

Earning around 6,000 yuan (US$845) a month – well below the local average of 13,500 yuan for public-sector workers, according to municipal government figures – the 38-year-old feels stuck in a low-income cohort and uncertain about her future prospects as China’s job market remains stubbornly sluggish.

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Xiao’s plight reflects the scale of the challenge facing China as it embarks on an ambitious drive to nearly double the size of its middle-income population over the next decade.

According to the government’s most recent estimate, more than 400 million of China’s 1.4 billion people are currently living on a middle income. At a press conference last month, Commerce Minister Wang Wentao projected the figure would rise to 800 million in the next 10 years.

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In its proposals for China’s next five-year plan, also released last month, the Communist Party’s Central Committee vowed to steadily expand the middle-income cohort to create an “olive-shaped” income distribution chart.
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