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China sellers brace as EU preps US-style move to tighten rules on low-value parcels

Merchants warn that margins will be squeezed, consumer prices may rise, and firms may shift markets as compliance costs and customs hits bite cross-border trade

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The European Commission said that 91 per cent of all e-commerce shipments valued under €150 (US$174) came from China last year. Photo: Getty Images
Mia NurmamatandRalph Jennings

Three years into the cross-border e-commerce trade, Shenzhen-based seller Xiong Hao is grappling with the fallout from Washington’s decision to scrap duty-free treatment for small parcels – and now the European Union looks to deliver the next blow.

“It’s getting harder and harder in the current environment,” said Xiong, who deals in toys and household goods. “Even though small parcels are technically duty-free, the EU already has a lot of miscellaneous taxes.”

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EU member states have agreed with the bloc’s priority-setting body, the European Council, to remove a €150 (US$174) customs duty relief threshold, according to a European Commission statement released on Thursday.

Xiong said his business, which runs on roughly 38 per cent gross margin, cannot easily absorb another wave of tax increases that he estimated to be about 20 per cent in total, while his sales on TikTok Shop in the US have fallen about 40 per cent since July, year on year.

In 2024, 91 per cent of all e-commerce shipments valued under €150 came from China, the commission found, and their volume more than doubled to 4.17 billion items between 2023 and 2024.

The EU’s move, due to take effect next year, will hit China especially hard as the largest source of the shipments, according to analysts.

“This will have a significant impact on cross-border e-commerce businesses from a compliance perspective,” said Zhang Qi, co-founder of Shenzhen-based electric-bike exporter Golden Wheel Bike+Work.

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At a press briefing on Friday, China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs said: “We hope the EU will uphold market-economy principles and provide a fair, transparent and non-discriminatory business environment for companies from all countries, including Chinese firms.”

It will have quite an impact, because the US has done it and a lot of these merchants are looking to the EU to compensate for that loss
Jayant Menon, ISEAS – Yusof Ishak Institute
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