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US-China trade war
EconomyGlobal Economy

Why China’s critical mineral dominance is still disrupting US supply chains

Businesses hope US President Donald Trump’s visit to China in late March will ease bottlenecks

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China currently mines about 70 per cent of the world’s rare earth metals, a subset of critical minerals, and holds 90 per cent of the global processing capacity. The US relies heavily on these materials for defence manufacturing and throughout the hi-tech hardware supply chain. Photo: Reuters
Kandy Wong

American companies are grappling with a shortage of critical minerals used in daily operations despite China easing some of its export controls, according to industry insiders.

After Beijing and Washington agreed to a so-called trade truce last November, the Ministry of Commerce issued a notice suspending a ban on shipments of gallium, germanium and antimony to the US for one year.
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But China’s dominant position in the global market for these vital raw materials, including heavy rare earths, continued to weigh on US companies, industry insiders said.

“There is no immediate broad-based solution except supply loosening in China,” said David Abraham, director of Three Legged Capital in New York, a specialist advisory firm focused on critical mineral supply chains.

“It’s not just that materials are dear; it’s that they are not getting to manufacturers,” he added, noting the current situation was creating “severe challenges” for the defence and tech industries.

Jesse Marks, CEO and executive director of Rihla Research & Advisory, a strategic consulting firm on diversifying critical mineral supply chains, said China’s blanket bans and export licensing regime had fuelled a global scramble for supplies since last April.

The industries “feeling this most acutely” were aerospace, defence, semiconductors and electric vehicles, as companies faced lengthy approval timelines for export licences while quarterly volume caps constrained their ability to plan, Marks added.

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The general licences China issued were valid for only one year and capped quarterly, creating operational limits, he said.

“They also face heightened end-user scrutiny by the Chinese Ministry of Commerce, even for civilian products,” he added. “And if you’re a new company trying to access controlled minerals, it’s even more difficult.”

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