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China-Latin America relations
China

China unlikely to aid Maduro if US acts in Venezuela, but could gain from fallout: experts

Beijing condemns US pressure on Caracas but offers limited support, prioritising its economic interests and long-term gains

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Chinese President Xi Jinping (right) meets with Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro in Moscow on the sidelines of the celebration marking the 80th anniversary of the victory in the Soviet Union’s Great Patriotic War in May. Photo: Xinhua
Igor Patrickin Rio de JaneiroandKhushboo Razdanin Washington

Beijing is unlikely to offer military help to Venezuela if the United States moves against President Nicolas Maduro, analysts say, but it could still benefit from a shift in Washington’s global posture that revives old notions of spheres of influence, including one that might one day favour its ambitions towards Taiwan.

While Beijing has condemned what it calls “external interference” and urged restraint, it has shown no sign it would defend the Venezuelan leader.

The United States has deployed about 11 warships and some 15,000 troops to the Caribbean, declared Venezuelan airspace closed, and hinted at possible ground operations after months of strikes on vessels it claims were smuggling drugs to North America. And US President Donald Trump escalated his fiery rhetoric aimed Maduro again on Wednesday.

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In power since 2013, Maduro has denounced Washington’s actions as “imperialist aggression” and vowed to resist what he calls a campaign of intimidation.

His allies, however, have offered little beyond rhetorical backing. Russia has pledged to “monitor the situation”, while Iran has condemned what it calls US “unilateralism”, and China has limited its response to calls for restraint and for Latin America to remain a “zone of peace”.

US Marines prepare to engage targets during a deck shoot last month in the Caribbean Sea. Photo: AFP
US Marines prepare to engage targets during a deck shoot last month in the Caribbean Sea. Photo: AFP

Beijing’s caution follows a familiar pattern, as it rarely defends partners under military pressure, instead focusing on safeguarding economic interests and political access, experts heard by the Post said.

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