China’s presence at Scarborough Shoal in South China Sea ‘unprecedented’ in 2025: report
Beijing substantially increased patrols as well as broadened coverage near contested sites in prized waters, researchers say
An analysis published on Thursday by the Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative (AMTI) – a research programme affiliated with the Centre for Strategic and International Studies – showed a substantial increase in China’s patrol presence as well as a broadening of its patrol coverage near Scarborough Shoal and Sabina Shoal.
The AMTI’s analysis drew on data from the Automatic Identification System, a tracking system that uses transponders on ships to provide real-time information to other vessels, coastal authorities and satellites.
It used two metrics to quantify the China Coast Guard’s (CCG) presence: ship days – the total sum of days spent by every individual CCG vessel at a location, and calendar days – the number of distinct days in a year during which at least one CCG ship was present.
According to the initiative, the Chinese coastguard had a nearly year-round presence near Scarborough Shoal, with patrols observed on 352 calendar days.