First Trump, then Putin go to China. Does great-power diplomacy now hinge on Beijing?
China has no need ‘to balance between the US and Russia in a causal sense, but treats the two relationships as parallel tracks’: analyst
Yet, according to observers, the summits highlight Beijing’s growing ability to manage its two most important relationships on separate tracks: sustaining a deep strategic partnership with Moscow, while pursuing a more transactional, stability-focused engagement with Washington.
Several analysts said the pattern was reshaping US-China-Russia dynamics, making it increasingly asymmetrical and unpredictable.
They argued it would continue to test Beijing’s capacity to navigate divergent interests against the backdrop of protracted conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, energy market turbulence and an increasingly multipolar nuclear order.
“Major power leaders keep coming to China, and this naturally creates the impression that the United States and Russia, to some extent, need China,” said Yun Sun, director of the China programme and co-director of the East Asia programme at the Stimson Centre.
“This makes China appear to sit at the centre of global power, a pivot of world diplomacy. This view has some merit … But whether this truly elevates China’s standing remains debatable.”