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Are China’s stars leading fans to be more nationalist – or the other way round?

Study out of the US and Britain looks at how nationalism flows and influences others on Chinese social media

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Researchers from universities in the US and Britain used “vector autoregression” to assess how Chinese celebrities and fans influence each other through their social media posts, specifically on Weibo, over time. Photo: AFP
Sylvie Zhuangin Beijing
Grass-roots enthusiasm has played the main role in shaping China’s online nationalist narrative and has pushed celebrities to follow, according to a study published in the American peer-reviewed journal Science Advances last week.
Contrary to the common perception that nationalism on Chinese social media space is more top down and that Beijing uses such platforms to influence or control public opinion, the study jointly done by researchers from leading universities in the United States and Britain offers a different story.

“Our findings reveal that fans exert a stronger influence on celebrities than vice versa in spreading nationalism. Fans often shape the nationalist narratives that celebrities amplify, with those aligned with specific political leanings, such as those within the state-conformist camp, having a greater influence,” it said.

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The study was carried out by four scholars from the University of Michigan, Texas A&M University, Brown University and Cambridge University. They used a statistical method called vector autoregression to look at how celebrities and fans influenced each other through their posts over time.

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The researchers gathered more than 8 million microblogs and comments relating to the anti-government protests in Hong Kong which began in 2019 – from Weibo, the go-to Chinese social media platform for public discourse. They found that “fans’ nationalistic expressions exert a stronger and more consistent influence on celebrities”.

The protests initially opposed a proposed extradition bill that would have allowed Hong Kong to transfer fugitives to mainland China but escalated into a much wider and prolonged anti-government movement that resulted in violent clashes between the city’s police and protesters.

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As the protests intensified, nationalist sentiment surged on Chinese social media.

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