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Asean
This Week in AsiaEconomics

US tariffs put Asia’s small businesses on road to ruin: ‘ultimately some will go under’

Analysts are urging the region’s SMEs to diversify supply chains and invest in risk management to survive this new, unstable trade landscape

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An employee counts US dollar bank notes at a money changer in Jakarta. SMEs often operate on thin margins and require steady cash flows to survive. Photo: AP
Biman Mukherji
In boardrooms and backstreets from Singapore to Hanoi, owners of Asia’s small and medium-sized enterprises had barely got over the shock of the pandemic’s economic upheaval when another disruption arrived – this time from Washington, in the form of new tariffs that risk upending cross-border commerce and livelihoods.
Following a series of hard-fought trade negotiations with the Trump administration, many Southeast Asian nations now find themselves confronting US tariffs ranging from 19 to 20 per cent, alongside additional, sector-specific duties targeting industries such as steel and semiconductors.
Compounding the challenge, US President Donald Trump’s government has imposed a separate 40 per cent punitive levy on transshipments – goods routed from high-tariff countries through low-tariff nations before being re-exported to the United States – in a move likely to hit Asian exporters reliant on Chinese components especially hard.
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“A tariff-economy shock soon after a pandemic-economy shock will be disastrous for many enterprises,” warned Henrich Greve, academic director of the Centre for Entrepreneurship at INSEAD.

Economic shocks are not supposed to come so frequently and with such strength
Henrich Greve, INSEAD business school

“In a normal economy, economic shocks are not supposed to come so frequently and with such strength. Small and medium enterprises are much more vulnerable to tariffs than larger firms.”

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