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This Week in AsiaEconomics

India in limbo over Russian oil imports as talks with US on trade deal continues

Washington has previously tied lower tariffs on Indian exports to the US to New Delhi’s commitment to curb its purchases of Russian oil

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Tanks belonging to Transneft, a Russian state-owned company that operates the country’s oil pipelines, at an oil terminal in Ust-Luga. Photo: dpa
Biman Mukherji
The US Supreme Court’s ruling against President Donald Trump’s broad tariff measures could ease pressure on India over its contentious imports of discounted Russian oil even as New Delhi aims to reach a final trade agreement with Washington, according to analysts.
Trump has said he is prepared to reduce the tariff on India’s exports to the US in return for a commitment from Delhi to curb its purchases of Russian oil. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi confirmed in early February that Delhi had reached an agreement with Washington on the matter, without providing details.

The cumulative US tariff on India dropped to 18 per cent from 25 per cent after the two countries announced an interim trade agreement earlier this month. The levy was 50 per cent previously at the height of the standoff between Delhi and Washington over the Russian oil trade.

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Following the court ruling, Trump imposed a blanket 10 per cent tariff on all US imports – a temporary unilateral measure applicable for up to 150 days without requiring congressional approval. He has threatened to raise the tariff further to 15 per cent.

Despite the court ruling against Trump’s tariffs, there is still no clarity on India’s Russian oil purchases, according to analysts.

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“India should drive a harder bargain, as the US tariffs have been rendered illegal. This will surely decrease the pressure. Of course, it is also important to lower the political risks,” said Biswajit Dhar, an economics professor at New Delhi’s Council for Social Development.

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