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US-ally trade wars
This Week in AsiaOpinion
Stephen Olson

Opinion | In Trump’s tariff deals with Southeast Asia, will there be any winners?

Trump’s Brics tariff threat and transshipment provisions could further complicate trade negotiations as the August 1 deadline looms

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A man walks past a Nike advert outside a shopping centre in Hanoi on July 8. Vietnam has apparently managed to get its initial tariff rate more than halved. Photo: AFP

Now that Donald Trump’s arbitrary July 9 deadline for negotiations on “reciprocal” tariffs has come and gone, what are the implications for Southeast Asia?

To date, Vietnam, Indonesia and the Philippines are the only countries in the region to have secured so-called deals. Other countries are left with the previously announced April tariffs intact, although the negotiating deadline has been extended for three weeks to August 1. As things stand, there remain few winners in Southeast Asia in the ongoing saga.

Details on the agreement with Vietnam are sparse, but it seems Hanoi has managed to get its initial “reciprocal” tariff rate of 46 per cent reduced to 20 per cent. A 40 per cent tariff will be applied on transshipped products – without an exact definition of exactly what constitutes “transshipment”.
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Trump posted on social media that Vietnam had granted the US “TOTAL ACCESS” to its market, which seems to amount to a duty waiver on US products entering Vietnam.

An artisan works on a pair of leather boots in Indonesia. Indonesian goods entering the US will face a 19 per cent tariff. Photo: AFP
An artisan works on a pair of leather boots in Indonesia. Indonesian goods entering the US will face a 19 per cent tariff. Photo: AFP
Details on the agreement with Indonesia are similarly sparse, but its initial “reciprocal” tariff rate of 32 per cent has apparently been reduced to 19 per cent. US exports to Indonesia would face no tariffs and Jakarta has agreed to purchase additional US goods, including 50 Boeing jets.
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