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Bihar’s ‘close fight’ sets stage for year of tough Indian state polls for Modi’s BJP

A win for JDU, BJP’s main coalition partner, would bolster Modi’s authority and tighten his grip on national politics, analysts say

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A man walks past a banner showing Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi (right) and Bihar Chief Minister Nitish Kumar (second right) in Patna on Saturday ahead of the state assembly elections. Photo: AFP
Biman Mukherji
India’s ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is bracing for a fiercely contested state election in Bihar starting on Thursday, in a race analysts say could determine the stability of Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s coalition and reveal the limits of his influence in key battleground states.

Voting in Bihar will take place in two phases, on Thursday and next Tuesday, with results due next Friday. The outcome will not only decide Bihar’s leadership but could also set the tone for a series of key state polls next year in Assam, West Bengal, Kerala, Tamil Nadu and Puducherry.

The outcome of each state election carries added significance for Modi’s BJP, which lost its outright majority in last year’s parliamentary polls and now relies heavily on regional allies – particularly Bihar’s influential Janata Dal United (JDU) led by Nitish Kumar.

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A win for the BJP-JDU alliance would bolster Modi’s authority both within his party and its ideological parent, the Hindu nationalist Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh, while tightening his grip on national politics, according to analysts.

A cyclist rides past election banners displayed along a street in Patna on Saturday. Photo: AFP
A cyclist rides past election banners displayed along a street in Patna on Saturday. Photo: AFP

The BJP-led bloc is locked in a close contest with a rival alliance comprising the regional Rashtriya Janata Dal, headed by rising political figure Tejashwi Yadav, and the main national opposition party, the Indian National Congress.

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