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TOPIC

China's economic recovery

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China's economic recovery
This topic charts China's economic recovery as it, in 2023, enters an era of slower growth, along with an ageing and shrinking workforce, weak consumer demand and a property market downturn.
Open Questions series

Wu Shicun on why Beijing will not rule out Scarborough Shoal construction

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Illustration: Victor Sanjinez

Economist James Heckman on the value of risk-taking, and China’s ‘common goal’

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Illustration: Lau Ka-kuen

Zheng Yongnian on what US’ ‘neocolonialism’, Venezuela operation mean for China

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Illustration: Victor Sanjinez

Liu Qian on Chinese innovation, the US rivalry and women holding up half the sky

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Illustration: Victor Sanjinez Garcia

Fuchsia Dunlop tells how she fell for China’s cuisine and names her perfect dish

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Illustration: Lau Ka-kuen

80 years on from WWII, China’s interests lie in peaceful Asia-Pacific: Mitter

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Illustration: Lau Ka-kuen

Wu Shicun on why Beijing will not rule out Scarborough Shoal construction

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28
Illustration: Victor Sanjinez

Economist James Heckman on the value of risk-taking, and China’s ‘common goal’

videocam
7
Illustration: Lau Ka-kuen

Zheng Yongnian on what US’ ‘neocolonialism’, Venezuela operation mean for China

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15
Illustration: Victor Sanjinez

Liu Qian on Chinese innovation, the US rivalry and women holding up half the sky

7
Illustration: Victor Sanjinez Garcia

Fuchsia Dunlop tells how she fell for China’s cuisine and names her perfect dish

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5
Illustration: Lau Ka-kuen

80 years on from WWII, China’s interests lie in peaceful Asia-Pacific: Mitter

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18
Illustration: Lau Ka-kuen
MORE FROM THIS SERIES
The US State Department said in its 2026 Fiscal Transparency Report on Tuesday that China had failed to meet its minimum transparency requirements. Photo: Reuters
US-China trade war

US faults China over vague overseas lending, warns of emerging-market debt risks

US State Department introduces tougher disclosure requirement covering sovereign loans, liabilities and collateral.

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China economy

Opinion | China’s economic problems have been diagnosed. Will policymakers act?

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Banking & finance

China’s banks look to unload US$8.2b in bad credit-card loans

Banking & finance

China’s panda bond market surges as Goldman Sachs flags limits to yuan expansion

Issuance of yuan-denominated debt surges, including in dim sum bond market, but sustained global use of yuan seen requiring broader access and stronger finance links.

Yuan notes are counted at a bank in China’s Jiangsu province. According to a Goldman Sachs analyst, “the current bond-issuance boom is a historic opportunity”. Photo: Reuters
Infrastructure

How China’s Zhangjiajie aims to revive a US$296 million loss-making tourist site

A 150,000-visitor opening offers an early signal, but analysts warn that lasting cash flow will require stronger products, local culture and tighter operations.

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China jobs

China’s viral ‘dream job’: tight labour market fuels rush for alternative work

A highly-coveted mountaintop gig has exposed the sobering economic realities facing young jobseekers.

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China trade

July trade robust, fresh Chinese sanctions, Unitree IPO opens

This week: July trade growth moderates, Beijing retaliates against US sanctions and services activity growth slips. Next week: Subscriptions start for Unitree IPO, Tencent and Chinese chipmakers report interim earnings, July factory gate prices and more.

Air conditioners for export to Europe at a warehouse in Jiaozhou, Shandong province. Photo: Xinhua
Yuan

China needs a stronger yuan, ‘fiscal boost’ to drive near-term growth: analysts

Rebalancing economy and offsetting a record trade surplus requires targeted stimulus to counter growing global trade barriers, analysts say.

China economy

Opinion | China’s economic shift may hinge on what migrant workers do next

Where migrant workers go, what sectors they serve and how many stay employed will shape whether productivity gains go beyond the most advanced sectors.

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Electric & new energy vehicles

Chinese EV sales falter at home as growth slows

Big three Chinese premium vehicle makers’ deliveries decline in July and central bank vows steps to foster economic growth as it hits a four-year low.

Chinese-made MG Cyberster electric vehicles await loading onto a ship for export. Photo: AFP
Retailing

How global brands are winning in China’s sluggish retail market

The likes of Adidas and L’Oreal are thriving in the evolving market, showcasing strong growth driven by changing consumer demands.

Customers sit and drink coffee inside a Starbucks Reserve store in a shopping mall in Shenzhen. Photo: Getty Images
China economy

Opinion | How likely is Beijing to walk the talk on boosting consumption?

As long as external demand holds up, policymakers appear relatively untroubled by weakening domestic demand, despite rhetoric to the contrary.

China property

China’s investors snap up prime office space, betting on a property rebound

Commercial properties are changing hands at a much faster rate in Shanghai and other major cities, as investors bet on a market rebound.

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China deflation

The upside of downsizing: Chinese youth head for more affordable small towns

Fast-paced corporate jobs leave Millennials, Gen Z burnt-out and seeking simpler lives with fewer luxuries outside China’s megacities.

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China’s young people are increasingly quitting stressful corporate jobs and choosing simpler, cheaper lives in scenic rural towns. Pictured is the entrance archway to Mengzi Rice Noodle Town in Yunnan province. Photo: Getty Images
China GDP

China’s debt ratio dips. Why it may not bode well for the economy

Debt-level gains mask private-sector contraction, with government lone growth lever as households deleverage, firms shun borrowing: report.

China’s debt-to-GDP ratio slipped 1.1 percentage points to 308.2 per cent, according to a Beijing-based think tank. Photo: AFP
China’s Communist Party

China factories cool, CXMT surges, PLA marks anniversary

This week: China manufacturing surprisingly contracts, the Politburo dampens stimulus expectations, memory maker CXMT surges after IPO, and the US bans imports of Chinese robots. Next week: The PLA celebrates its 99th anniversary, July exports may cool, HSBC posts earnings, soccer giants play in Hong Kong, and more.

Yuan

China’s offshore yuan hits 3-year high as Beijing signals policy support

Politburo’s pledge to stabilise growth and boost capital markets helps drive rally, reinforced by days of relatively strong reference rates by the central bank.

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China’s Communist Party

July Politburo meeting read-out

SCMP Plus annotates the read-out of the July meeting of China’s top-level Politburo, where it was agreed that the Communist Party’s fifth plenum will be held in October and which signalled stronger support for the economy.

July Politburo meeting read-out
China manufacturing

China’s manufacturing sector falters in July as growth momentum cools

Beijing faces renewed pressure to ramp up support as PMI falls to 49.2, a day after leadership signalled it would accelerate fiscal spending.

China economy

Macroscope | Upper arm of China’s K-shaped economy both a blessing and a curse

China’s two-speed economy stems from the shift to new growth engines but the export boom it has created is doing little for jobs or consumption.

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China GDP

China’s Politburo pledges policy support, spending to counteract sluggish growth

The high-level decision-making body also set October for the fifth Central Committee plenum, which will set the stage for next year’s party congress.

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President Xi Jinping at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on July 8. Photo: Xinhua
China jobs

‘Keep your top talent’: Chinese firms set to boost pay in 2027 amid AI boom

The modest rise still lags regional averages and comes as firms try to retain staff amid aggressive recruitment, according to a new report.

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AI and other advanced technologies are reshaping China’s job market, driving demand for talent with related skills and changing hiring priorities. Photo: Shutterstock
China consumption

China’s 15th five-year plan for consumption

Officials have set a target for retail sales to hit 60 trillion yuan, or US$8.9 trillion, by 2030 under a plan approved by the State Council.

China’s private sector

Payment arrears and ‘involution’ still slam traditional China industries: survey

Most entrepreneurs polled cite problematic payment delays and intense competition, even as AI, semiconductors and advanced materials lift profits.

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China GDP

China’s ‘K-shaped’ economy is divided not just by sector, but geography

The divide between China’s booming tech industry and struggling consumer sector has drawn attention. But regional disparities are also widening.

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A view of a major computing centre in Hangzhou, capital of China’s eastern Zhejiang province. Photo: Getty Images
China consumption

Price of parenting: the household maths giving China’s consumers pause

Falling property wealth, job insecurity and sky-high childcare costs are forcing middle-class families to aggressively scale back consumer spending.

A newborn baby is seen with family members at a hospital in Heshan, south China’s Guangdong province, on February 10, 2024. Photo: Xinhua
China’s crackdowns

China’s income tax revenue soars 13% – but average pay has little to do with it

Local authorities are turning to stricter tax enforcement to shore up mounting budget strains, even as broader income growth lags.

US-China relations

US Congress weighs new tariffs, sanctions to counter China’s shipbuilding threat

US lawmakers search for ways to tackle Beijing’s rapid rise in commercial shipbuilding and restore America’s diminished commercial fleet.

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